by Armchair Admin
•
8 December 2019
Module 2 So now that we understand that we have set a long term target of sensitivity at the previous top of the market, we need to take a view on how to set a risk profile for entering the market and breaking down a budget. Doing so will enable us to decide on risk to reward levels and setting our failed levels where we will exit the investment with a minimal drawdown and we can also set further levels where we can accumulate further positions and top up our investment portfolio. Photos with examples 1. Bitcoin: current price 7964 - targeting 20,000. On this example , by owning digital shares in this you will buy a cash price of a share and watch the valuation fluctuate over time. Let’s look at 2 year price plan based on 2 purchases. Purchase 1- December 2019 : Buy £1000 worth of shares at 8000 market price. Purchase 2 - February 2019 : Buy £500 worth of shares at 10000 market price. Your portfolio has an initial £1500 cash injection, however because purchase 1 was completed at a lower price and by February when purchase 2 was made, by the time purchase 2 is done then the portfolio is worth £1750. So a 25% increase purchase 1. Assuming that by 2021, the prices have returned to the highs and achieved the target, Purchase 1 is worth £2500 (+150%) & Purchase 2 is worth £1000 (+100%) Total portfolio value: £3500 Stop loss : So on the flip side of making money, if the price falls the other way then your portfolio value decreases. Setting a stop loss or exit level is a smart thing to do and facing the possibilities of having risk is more powerful than the reward. A drawdown level of 40% is a suitable Stop loss level at the current prices due to them being so low and our assumptions of the market finally turning. Using the examples below , based upon a 40% drawdown .. your time to exit the investment sits at when the price is 4800. This is what the risk: reward profiles look like on a chart. ( risk = red / reward = green) Any investment at 1:3 risk reward is worth taking , this is sat at 1:4 so offered a juicier proposal whilst leaving wiggle room and space to feel comfortable if the price draws down. Next, the example above shows the worst profile based upon our selected instruments in the investment plan. Using the others as examples, let’s go over the targets, risk reward and monetary levels. 2. XRPUSD The price is current trading at 0.28, as indicated earlier we are targeting 2.80. Target This shows an upside target of +1000% ( x10). Using a monetary example of £1000 if you purchased £1000 shares of XRP at 0.28 and the end target of 2.80 is met over the next few years the this purchase would be worth £10000. 1:19 Risk reward profile Stop loss The stop loss placement on this example sitting at 40% drawdown or loss is at 0.16 , it would be extremely unlikely based upon current lows and the price action for the price to reach these levels based upon market shape. Using the £1000 monetary example a 40% loss would equate to the £1000 injection being valued at £600. 3.ETHUSD This digital currency offers a 1:15 risk profile . Using the £1000 example , to purchase a share in ETH and achieve the target of 1163 then your portfolio valuation would increase from £1000 by buying at the current price of 171 to being worth £6801 if targets are met and achieved . Stop Loss A 40% drawdown and stop loss level is when the price is at 102. 4. EDOUSD EDO for me is the underdog, now that we had the extremely bullish year in 2017 and many people now begin to understand the concept of digital currency and assets, the large players above have already experienced media attention, whilst the upside positions are good for risk: reward. They are the more obvious choices for retail traders , the real value in this market is hedging a wild card , a winner before it is even discovered by mass media coverage and price speculation. This is my secret weapon. The prospects of this is a whopping 2100% + opportunity (X20 times initial stake) So assuming £1000 input , if we close out at 6.13 then your portfolio will be worth £21500. Stop Loss A 40% drawdown for EDO is set at the 0.16 range. Monthly/ Quarterly purchases to dollar cost average: Simply put, dollar-cost averaging refers to the practice of building investment positions by investing fixed dollar amounts at equal time intervals, as opposed to simply investing a lump sum all at one time. Additional notes: XRPUSD isn’t available on coinbase to buy as of yet, so to purchase this you can find shares on kraken.com